Belgrade Weather Sunday: 15 Degrees as Warm Spell Ends
After 12 warm days, the weather service forecasts a 10-degree drop, Sunday rain, fog in the south and caution for heart patients. Lowland snow, says Ristic, waits until November.
Is Indian summer over? It is, and on Sunday you will feel it without a thermometer. According to the Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia (RHMZ), temperatures in many cities will drop by about ten degrees compared with Saturday, and the cooler weather stays through the whole of next week.
We previously reported on the general weekend forecast: up to 28 degrees on Saturday and rain on Sunday. Today the city-by-city details have arrived, along with a fog warning and the biometeorological forecast.
How much will the temperature drop on Sunday?
RHMZ has published the daily highs for Saturday, October 10, and Sunday, October 11:
- Belgrade: 25, then 15 degrees Celsius
- Novi Sad: 23, then 15
- Nis: 28, then 18
- Kragujevac: 27, then 16
- Kraljevo: 26, then 16
- Zlatibor: 20, then 10
The biggest drop is in Kragujevac, 11 degrees. In Belgrade, Nis and Kraljevo the difference is 10, and in Novi Sad it is 8. In most places next week’s highs will range from 14 to 18 degrees, and the coldest mornings come in the middle of the week, when the mercury in the capital falls to about seven degrees.
Watch for one discrepancy in the numbers. RHMZ gives Belgrade 15 degrees on Sunday, while meteorologist Ivan Ristic expects about 14. For Tuesday, Ristic forecasts around 15 degrees by day and 5 to 7 in the morning. If you are deciding what to wear, go with the lower figure.
“Belgrade is in for quite fresh weather, with the temperature dropping to about 14 degrees, which is a sharp difference from yesterday’s almost 30 degrees.”
For the day before, Ristic cites almost 30 degrees and Todorovic a little over 31, so the sources differ by a degree or so there as well.
How long did Indian summer last?
Meteorologist Nedeljko Todorovic explained to RTS that true Indian summer is measured in consecutive days. “So there were warm days before, too, but they have to be linked for at least three days,” he said. This year’s episode ran considerably longer:
“This latest episode of Indian summer, this year’s episode, lasted 12 consecutive days.”
Todorovic also recalls October 31, 1926, when 31 degrees was measured. For the second half of October he does not rule out an occasional sunny day with 20 to 22 degrees, but that, as he put it, is not enough to qualify as true Indian summer.
Will the rain end the drought?
No. Rain arrives on Saturday afternoon, first in the south and southwest, with the most precipitation expected in the northwest overnight between Saturday and Sunday. On Sunday it falls in all regions, ending in the north and west in the afternoon and elsewhere in the evening and overnight. Monday is mostly dry, and on Tuesday and Wednesday the rain returns, except in the north.
The amounts are small. Todorovic says rain in Belgrade and most of the country is light, while the south and southeast get a few millimeters, locally up to about 10 liters per square meter. His conclusion is that this does not change the period of markedly dry weather. RHMZ warns that the Danube, Sava and Tisa at Titel remain below low navigation levels, and smaller rivers are close to their biological minimum.
Fog on the road and caution for weather-sensitive people
Before you head out: RHMZ warns of patchy fog in the southwest, south and southeast, with visibility of 300 to 500 meters. The fog is thicker in basins and river valleys, and with wet roads drivers are advised to take extra care.
RHMZ’s biometeorological forecast for Sunday advises caution for people with heart and respiratory conditions. Headaches, irritability and rheumatic pain may also appear. If you have a chronic illness, a talk with your doctor about your therapy is worth more than any forecast.
When does the first snow arrive?
Ristic says that with this cold snap a stray snowflake could fall on mountains around 1,000 meters, on Zlatibor, Tara and Divcibare. In the lowlands the math is different:
“It is realistic to expect the first snow in lower areas only in the second half of November, that is, in the third ten-day period.”
Until then, according to his forecast, the weather stays changeable. Another cold snap arrives next weekend, and the weather stabilizes under an anticyclone only at the end of October, with cold mornings, light frost in the basins and fog. In practical terms, you can pack away the light clothes and keep a jacket within reach.
