Weather to Oct 18: Mornings 2 to 8 Degrees, Kopaonik 0
After a rainy Sunday, a drier and fresher spell arrives: mornings mostly 2 to 8 degrees, and RHMZ forecasts a Monday low of 0 on Kopaonik.
Should you plan your mornings differently from Monday? You should. According to the forecast reported by RTS, morning temperatures through Sunday, October 18 will mostly be between 2 and 8 degrees, with daytime highs of 14 to 20.
We earlier published a forecast for Sunday alone, covering the end of Indian summer and 15 degrees in Belgrade. This is the follow-up: what comes after the rain.
What is the weather today, Sunday, October 11?
The Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia (RHMZ) updated its forecast on Sunday, October 11 at 11:54. The Belgrade forecast page shows no warnings.
Today is cloudy with rain and local showers. Precipitation stops first in the north and west, in the evening in central and southern areas, and overnight into Monday the rain remains only in the far east and southeast. Wind is light to moderate, northerly and northwesterly, and occasionally strong in the north and east.
Sources differ on the daytime high. RTS gives 15 to 21 degrees, N1 gives 14 to 19. N1 adds that it is 5 to 10 degrees cooler in Serbia than on Saturday.
For Belgrade the figures are similar, but not identical. RTS gives a high of about 15 and a low of about 13, while the RHMZ table shows a maximum of 13 and a minimum of 9.
Where will the mornings be coldest?
RHMZ’s city table lists daily highs and lows. Here is how the coming days look:
- Monday, October 12: Belgrade 17 and 8, Novi Sad 17 and 5, Palic 16 and 5, Nis 16 and 9, Zlatibor 10 and 4, Kopaonik 6 and 0.
- Tuesday, October 13 (daytime highs only): Belgrade 15, Novi Sad 15, Nis 12, Pristina 10, Zlatibor 8, Kopaonik 2.
- Sunday, October 11, for comparison: Negotin 21 and 14, Nis 19 and 9, Novi Sad 14 and 7, Kragujevac 15 and 9, Zlatibor 11 and 5, Kopaonik 10 and 2.
So on Kopaonik a minimum of 0 degrees is expected on Monday, and a high of just 2 on Tuesday. If you are heading there for the weekend or a day trip, that is worth knowing before you pick your footwear and layers.
When does the rain return?
This is where the sources disagree. RTS says the start of the week is dry, with precipitation, except in the north, expected again on Tuesday and Wednesday. N1 writes of weak passing showers only in the south of the country on Tuesday, and of dry weather from Wednesday. For Monday, N1 forecasts renewed cloud without rain, and for the whole coming week windy, fresh weather.
For Belgrade, RHMZ gives these figures through the end of the working week:
- Wednesday: 16 and 6
- Thursday: 17 and 6
- Friday: 17 and 8, with possible showers
Cooler mornings and milder afternoons mean a gap of around ten degrees within the same day. Anyone who leaves home at 6 degrees and returns at 17 is better off with layers that come off than with one heavy jacket. That is our recommendation from everyday experience, not a figure from the forecast.
What is certain, and what is not?
RTS and N1 agree that fresh weather is ahead, and RTS adds mornings mostly between 2 and 8 degrees and a daytime maximum of 14 to 20. Whether it rains on Tuesday and Wednesday is not certain. If your plans depend on it, open the RHMZ forecast on Monday evening, when the outlook for those days will be fresher.
One note on reading the table: for five days RHMZ gives both a minimum and a maximum, but for some days only a single value, so take care not to mix up the columns, especially for Belgrade.
