Trump says Iran deal will be signed tomorrow

The gap between what comes out of the White House and what arrives from Tehran has rarely been as visible as it was this weekend, and Serbia feels that gap directly at the pump: every hint that the Strait of Hormuz is closing or opening moves oil prices on the markets that also feed domestic fuel supply. US President Donald Trump said the agreement with Iran is ready to be signed as soon as Sunday, while Iranian diplomats and the Revolutionary Guard publicly reject that deadline, leaving the whole process in a state of open uncertainty.

Trump wrote on Truth Social that the signing is scheduled for Sunday, June 15, and that the waterway through Hormuz opens immediately after the signature, with no charge for passage. “The deal is scheduled to get signed tomorrow, and immediately after it is signed the Strait of Hormuz is open to all,” the US president wrote, presenting the deal as a settled matter. That phrasing goes a step further than what both sides have communicated in recent days, since earlier statements spoke of an agreed text and a ceasefire, not of an exact signing date.

Why is Tehran denying the deadline Washington announces?

Iran’s foreign ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei said the memorandum will not be signed on Sunday, but that a signing in the coming days cannot be ruled out. “Although it will not happen tomorrow, the possibility that it happens in the coming days cannot be excluded,” Baghaei said, setting a clear caveat against the American calendar. Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi added that the agreement has never been closer, but that Tehran has not yet made a final decision, confirming that the political will is there while formal consent is missing.

The sharpest tone came from the Revolutionary Guard, which denied the plan for a Sunday signing and criticized the American insistence on that particular day. That divergence is not just a matter of protocol: Tehran needs the deal not to look like a capitulation to a deadline set by the other side, while for Washington it is politically useful to present a result as soon as possible. The proposed framework, according to accounts so far, foresees a 60-day truce on all fronts and a return of Hormuz shipping to pre-war levels within 30 days, while a senior US official earlier put the odds of a signing at 80 to 85 percent.

What reopening Hormuz means for Europe and the region

The Strait of Hormuz is a narrow maritime gateway through which a fifth of the world’s oil passes, so every announcement about its closure or opening carries an immediate price on European energy markets. The European Union, which has spent recent weeks urging de-escalation through diplomatic channels, has an interest in seeing the truce formalized, since prolonged insecurity in the Gulf would further strain an already fragile energy balance on the continent. For Serbia, which sources fuel and oil products through markets tied to these flows, a calmer situation means a more predictable price at the pump, while a new shipping disruption would quickly hit household and business budgets.

The geopolitical reality is that both the truce and the deal can hold only if both sides accept the same sequence of moves, and it is precisely over that sequence that an open disagreement now exists. Washington wants a signature and the image of a result, Tehran wants guarantees and control over the pace. Until those two logics line up, the announced signing remains a promise, not a document. Do you believe the deal will be signed this week, or will the deadline slip again?