Weather Forecast to October 24: Warmer, Then a Cold Front
RHMZ outlook for the work week: warming to 24 degrees, Kosava wind from Tuesday, a cold front arriving Thursday evening and a temperature drop on Friday.
How warm will the new work week get? Up to 24 degrees Celsius, mostly on Wednesday and Thursday, but mornings stay fresh, and a cold front arrives on Thursday evening.
The Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia (RHMZ) has issued its outlook for October 19 to 24. Our earlier piece covered only the weekend, so this one takes the rest of the week, day by day.
What is the weather today, before the week begins?
On Sunday, October 18, the morning and early afternoon are mostly cloudy, with light rain in places in the south. From midday it clears up, first in the north and west of the country. The lowest temperature is 4 to 9, and the highest 17 to 20 degrees. In Belgrade the morning is around 7 degrees (una.rs reports 7 to 9), with a daytime high of about 18 and a light west and northwest wind.
What weather is coming from Monday to Friday?
- Monday, October 19: partly to moderately cloudy with sunny spells. Lows of 3 to 9 (around 12 in the Negotinska Krajina region), highs of 17 to 21. In the east, a strong northwest wind blows at times.
- Tuesday, October 20: still sunny spells. Lows of 4 to 9 (around 10 in the Negotinska Krajina region), highs of 17 to 22. The wind is southeasterly, and strengthens in the Kosava area in the afternoon and evening.
- Wednesday, October 21: according to RHMZ, changeable cloud with brief rain in places, lows of 6 to 13 and highs of 18 to 23 degrees. A strong southeast wind blows in the Kosava area. Informer, citing RHMZ, reports partly cloudy weather for the same day, about 23 degrees in Belgrade and about 21 in Novi Sad, with no mention of rain.
- Thursday, October 22: highs of 17 to 24 degrees, around the seasonal average or slightly above it. Informer reports 22 to 23 degrees in Belgrade and up to 24 in southern Serbia, with the warmest weather in the late morning and early afternoon.
- Friday, October 23: temperatures fall. For Belgrade and Novi Sad, Informer forecasts around 16 degrees, with rain and showers, and Saturday would not be much warmer.
For Tuesday, RHMZ also issued a city-by-city forecast, updated on Sunday. Daytime highs:
- Kragujevac and Nis: up to 22 degrees
- Negotin: 22 degrees
- Belgrade: 21 degrees
- Zlatibor: 18 degrees
- Kopaonik: 13 degrees
When does the cold front arrive, and how far will temperatures drop?
According to what Informer relays from meteorologists, Thursday evening brings heavier cloud, rain, showers and thunder, while the southeast wind turns into a strong northwest wind. That is a cold front moving through, followed by cooler weather.
This is where the sources part ways. Informer, citing RHMZ, forecasts a drop to about 16 degrees on Friday. Meteorologist Ivan Ristic sees a somewhat different picture in an interview with Kurir television: after Wednesday and Thursday he expects more stable weather, with a high of about 20 degrees. For now RHMZ says only that Friday is on the way down, without giving a number. It makes sense to check a fresh forecast once more by Thursday evening.
Ristic also spoke about the rest of the month:
“By the end of October we are entering a somewhat warmer period, with temperatures between 17 and 22 degrees.”
Mornings, he said, will be fresh and cool, with fog in places.
What does this mean for what to wear and plan?
The gap between morning and afternoon is what causes trouble: 3 to 9 in the morning, up to 22 degrees in the afternoon. The simplest approach is to dress in layers you can take off, and not leave the jacket at home even when the whole day looks warm. On Tuesday afternoon, if you are in the Kosava area, expect a stronger wind as well.
Speaking about the chilly days that have just passed, Ristic said:
“You’ve all said it well - it’s cold, so dress warmly if you’re going outside.”
No meteorological warnings are in effect at the moment. There is a hydrological one, valid until October 23, because of low water levels: the Danube, Sava and Tisa near Titel will be below low navigation levels in the coming days, and on the Kolubara and its tributaries, the Jadar, Toplica, Vlasina and Timok, flows are close to biological minimums.
As for snow, Ristic does not expect the first snow in lower areas until late November:
“In the third ten days of November we also expect the first snow in lower areas, most likely around November 26”
Until then, if the forecast holds, the week ahead offers mornings for a jacket and afternoons for a walk.
